Intuitive probability is driven by imaginability: the easier something is to visualize, the likelier it seems. This entraps us into what Tversky and Kahneman call the conjunction fallacy in which a conjunction is more intuitively probable than either of its elements #StevenPinker

-

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

In 1865 English chemist John Newlands discovered that when the chemical elements are arranged according to atomic weight, those with similar properties occur at every eighth element, like notes of music. This discovery became known as the Law of Octaves... #WillBuckingham

-
In 1865 English chemist John Newlands discovered that when the chemical elements are arranged according to atomic weight, those with similar properties occur at every eighth element, like notes of music. This discovery became known as the Law of Octaves... #WillBuckingham — English Quotes (@english_quotes) May 30, 2026
Read more