[New info reduces ignorance, changes the probability.] If that sounds mystical or paradoxical, think about the probability that a coin I just flipped landed heads. For you, it's .5. For me, it's 1 (I peeked). Same event, different knowledge, different probability. #StevenPinker
[New info reduces ignorance, changes the probability.] If that sounds mystical or paradoxical, think about the probability that a coin I just flipped landed heads. For you, it's .5. For me, it's 1 (I peeked). Same event, different knowledge, different probability. #StevenPinker
— English Quotes (@english_quotes) Feb 11, 2024
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